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Debunking Common Skeptical Arguments Against
Paranormal and Psychic Phenomena
By Winston Wu
(WWu777@aol.com)
[Please note that clicking on any heading will bring you back to the top.]
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction
Section I: Critique of General Skeptical Arguments Against
The Paranormal
Argument # 1: "It is irrational to believe anything that hasnt been
proven."
Argument # 2: "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence."
Argument # 3: The Occams Razor rule.
Argument # 4: The "invisible pink unicorn / dragon in the garage"
false comparison tactic.
Argument # 5: The "anecdotal evidence is invalid" argument.
Argument # 6: The memory malleability argument to dismiss anecdotal evidence.
Argument # 7: "The burden of proof is on the claimant."
Argument # 8: "There is no hard evidence to support any paranormal phenomena."
Argument # 9: Science is the only reliable method.
Argument # 10: "Paranormal and supernatural phenomena arent possible
because they contradict all known natural laws gained from science."
Argument # 11: "Unexplainable does not mean inexplicable."
Argument # 12: "Skeptics dont have beliefs. They/I base our views
and judgments on the degree of evidence."
Argument # 13: "A common myth is that Skepticism is cynicism. It is not.
Skepticism is a method of inquiry."
Argument # 14: "Believers in the paranormal are thinking in primitive,
irrational, childish and uninformed ways."
Argument # 15: "Skeptics are defending science and reason from a rising
tide of irrationality."
Section II: Critique of Skeptical Arguments Against Specific
Paranormal Phenomena.
Argument # 16: "Psychics and mediums use a technique called cold reading
to amaze you with accurate hits, not psychic powers.
Argument # 17: "Experiments that show evidence for psi must be replicable
in order to count as evidence."
Argument # 18: "No psychic phenomena has been demonstrated under controlled
conditions."
Argument # 19: "Miracles are impossible and defy everything we know about
science and anatomy."
Argument # 20: "Alternative medical practices only work due to the placebo
effect."
Argument # 21: The Skeptical explanation for answered prayers.
Argument # 22: The Skeptical explanation for precognitive dreams.
Argument # 23: The Dying Brain Hypothesis for Near Death Experiences.
Argument # 24: "There is no such thing as a soul or spirit that lives
on after you die. Consciousness is purely neurological and nothing else."
Argument # 25: "Spiritual experiences only exist in your mind, not in
external reality."
Argument # 26: "New Age philosophies are just childish fantasies for dealing
with a cold uncaring world."
Argument # 27: "There is no evidence to support the existence of UFOs
or the notion that we are being visited by extraterrestrials."
Argument # 28: "Since Evolution and natural selection are sufficient to
explain the origins of life, there is no need for God to fit into the equation."
Argument # 29: "It is just as irrational to believe in God as it is to
believe in Santa Claus."
Argument # 30: "Atheists dont hold the belief that God doesnt
exist. An Atheist is one who is without a belief in God, or lacks a belief in
him. Therefore the burden of proof for God is on the theist, not the atheist."
Conclusion
This article rebuts the most common arguments made by skeptics regarding psychic
phenomena and the paranormal, and shows the flaws and limitations in their thinking
and methodology. Ive listed their common arguments one by one and pointed
out the problems in them based on years of experience in debating and discussing
with them. Skeptics who use these arguments include honest doubters, cynics,
debunkers, Atheists, Humanists, certain scientists bent on materialistic reductionist
world views, those for whom science is their God (even though they won't admit
it), scientific materialists, haters of religion, etc. With the exception of
sensational pro-paranormal programs, these skeptics are often given the chance
to present their arguments and explanations in the media, national magazines,
and certain television programs, without rebuttal from the other side, even
when their explanations contradict the facts of the case. As a result, there
is often an imbalance in the presentation of paranormal and psychic phenomena
in the media, leaving most viewers and believers uninformed. This article attempts
to counteract the imbalance. It is written both for the education and knowledge
of the believer who deals with skeptics, and for skeptics who are willing to
hear counterarguments to their positions.
First though, a little about me. My name is Winston and I am a researcher and
explorer of the paranormal, psychic phenomena, metaphysics, quantum physics,
consciousness research, realms of higher consciousness, and religion/philosophy.
Ive always had a sense of adventure and interest in esoteric things. I
started out during childhood as a Christian fundamentalist. After a slow deconversion
when I turned 19, I became Agnostic for a while. Realizing that there were way
too many phenomena that couldnt be explained by conventional explanations,
I started looking for other answers and non-organized forms of spirituality.
After much research and questioning, I discovered many fascinating things such
as new paradigms that fit the unexplained data, a more comprehensive view of
reality and spirituality, and that there is indeed powerful evidence (some of
which is irrefutable) that many types of paranormal phenomena do have a basis,
both scientifically and in terms of anecdotal evidence. To try to gain an understanding
of the other side, (which is what you should do when you want to learn something
in depth) I went to skeptics to ask what they had to say and also read some
of their literature. I found that what they had to say made sense on the surface,
but was very different than what I heard from the literature about paranormal
phenomena, accounts of paranormal experiences from ordinary people (some of
which I know and trust), and my own experiences. In order to try to make sense
of such different but arguable views, I tried to sift through the details and
the evidence. What I found was that although both skeptics and believers can
be closed-minded and tend to rationalize away what they dont want to believe,
in either case the objective evidence for the paranormal is incredibly strong
in many areas. Although the main focus of this article is to critique skeptical
arguments, the evidence for the paranormal will often be addressed as well.
(If you have any questions about a particular phenomena or want to know the
evidence for some of them, feel free to email me at the address above under
the title, and I will try to respond.)
As I became educated of the evidence for many types of paranormal phenomena,
I presented this to skeptics both on message boards and internet newsgroups.
What resulted was an endless charade of arguments on both sides, with each side
bringing up facts that support their side while denying the facts of the other
side. This is typical of debates in general, no doubt, but since there were
so many types of paranormal phenomena, the topic range was broad and diverse
enough to make continuous and interesting discussions. Consequently, the discussions
dragged on much longer than expected. Not only were there so many topics to
discuss, but I kept finding more and more quality evidence to support my view
each time I looked. All this became a fascinating and educating hobby. While
debating them, hearing their arguments and reading their websites (like Bob
Carroll's "The Skeptic's Dictionary" at www.skepdic.com), I have heard
almost all their arguments and learned how to respond to them. After several
years of this, I gained the knowledge and experience to critique and comment
on the skeptics arguments, because I know where their strengths and weaknesses
lie, as an experienced chess player understands the strengths and weaknesses
of the positions of his opponents pieces, hence the interest in writing
this article. For almost three years now, I have debated skeptics ranging from
honest doubters looking for truth (like me), to those who are clearly cynics
masquerading as skeptics having already made up their minds before looking at
the evidence. What I've learned is what I want to share with you.
Before I begin, I want to clarify that I have nothing against honest skepticism.
It is good to have a healthy dose of skepticism to protect one from scams, con
artists, misleading advertising, misleading claims, jumping to conclusions,
etc. It's when that skepticism turns to cynicism (without them realizing it
even) and closes one's mind so that anything that doesn't fit into their world
view is dismissed automatically as misperception, delusion, or fraud, that it's
taken too far. That's where I draw the line between healthy skepticism and pseudo-skepticism,
or closed-minded skepticism. Of course, every skeptic is going to say that they
are open-minded and not cynical, but the proof of the pudding is in their actions
and way of thinking. After a while, one can recognize these clues that distinguish
a true skeptic and a cynic. One of the tell-tale signs of cynics and closed-minded
skeptics is in the words they use when describing believers, such as: "delusional,
irrational, gullible, charlatans, superstitious, wishful-thinking, primitive
and child-like thinking", etc. Watch out if you see someone or an author
frequently using words like that to describe what they dont understand.
These kind of skeptics also tend to belong to organized Skeptics groups fighting
to suppress paranormal evidence, such as CSICOP (Committee for the Scientific
Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal), Australian Skeptics, ISUNY (Inquiring
Skeptics of Upper New York), and many others. Skepticism should be a tool and
method of inquiry to help one learn things and find truth, not as a cover to
defend one's own paradigms and cynicism. Doubting things and looking for answers
will help one learn things, but trying to debunk everything outside your world
view does not lead to learning. Therefore when I critique skepticism here, I'm
not referring to honest healthy skepticism, but the cynical kind that tries
to debunk everything outside of the materialistic world view, publishes or reads
one-sided magazines like "The Skeptical Inquirer", belong to organizations
like CSICOP (Committee for the Scientific Investigations of Claims of the Paranormal),
and who consider James Randi's unwon million dollar psychic challenge to be
proof that no one is truly psychic. This type of cycnicism masquerading as science
is especially prevalent in the attitude of the popular skeptical newsgroup Sci.Skeptic.
Not everyone who calls himself a skeptic fits into these categories of course.
The true skeptic though, should be skeptical of his own beliefs and positions
as well of others. In debating skeptics, Ive noticed some common flawed
tactics that they use. These include:
1) Ignoring facts and evidence that dont fit into their preconceived
world view, rather than updating their beliefs to conform to the facts, which
is more logical. (e.g. "It cant be, therefore it isnt!")
2) Trying to force false explanations to explain a paranormal event regardless
of whether they fit the facts. In essence, cynical skeptics tend to prefer inventing
false explanations rather than accepting any paranormal ones. For example, using
"cold reading" to explain the amazing accuracy of a psychic reading
when no known cold reading technique could account for the facts and circumstances.
(see Argument # 16)
3) Moving the goal posts or raising the bar whenever their criteria for evidence
is met. For example, a skeptic wants evidence for psi in the form of controlled
experiments rather than anecdotal evidence. When this evidence is presented,
he will then raise the bar and demand that the experiments be repeatable by
other researchers. When this is done, then he will either attack the researchers
integrity and character, attack their methods, or demand a report of every detail
and minute of the experiment or else he will contend that some unmentioned lack
of controls must have been the culprit to explain the positive psi results,
etc. He will always find some excuse due to his already made-up mindset.
4) Using double standards in what they will accept as evidence. For example,
when a psi experiment shows well above chance results, they will not accept
it as evidence against psi. But when a psi experiment only shows chance results,
they will accept that as evidence against psi. In the same fashion, they will
not accept anecdotal evidence for the paranormal because they consider it to
be unreliable, but not surprisingly they will accept anecdotal evidence when
it supports their position (e.g. "Others never reported any paranormal
activity in the area").
5) Attacking the character of witnesses and undermining their credibility their
evidence or testimonies cant be explained away. As we all know, when politicians
cant win on the issues, they resort to character assassinations. Unfortunately,
this is also what skeptics and debunkers tend to do as well. When evidence or
testimony from key people cant be explained away or are irrefutable, skeptics
will find ways to discredit them such as character assassinations or grossly
exaggerating and distorting trivial mistakes. This has especially been done
with the direct eyewitnesses of the 1947 Roswell Incident, as Roswell author
Stanton Friedman often points out.
6) Dismissing all evidence for the paranormal by classifying it either as anecdotal,
untestable, unreplicable, or uncontrolled. Skeptics who wish to close their
minds to any evidence, even after asking for it ironically, tend to do so by
classifying it into one of the categories above. If the evidence is anecdotal,
they will say that anecdotal evidence is worthless scientifically and untestable.
If the evidence is in the form of scientific experiments, they will then say
that it is unreplicable or uncontrolled.
(For more on skeptical tactics such as these, go to http://www.eskimo.com/~billb/pathskep.html,
and http://www.primenet.com/~lippard/stupid-skeptic-tricks.txt)
These illogical ways of thinking are strange coming from people who pride themselves
on their logic and rationality! Of course, flawed thinking such as the above
can come from both believers and skeptics. That is why it is good to point them
out to keep both sides in check. Please enjoy these rebuttals and keep an open
mind. (Note: I have assigned numbers to each skeptical argument below so that
I can make references to them throughout this article.)
Section I: General Skeptical Arguments Against The Paranormal
Argument # 1: "It is irrational to believe in anything that hasn't
been proven."
This is the main philosophy behind most skeptical arguments. As Dr. Melvin
Morse, Seattle pediatrician and author specializing in child NDEs (Near
Death Experiences) said:
"The notion that 'It is rational to only believe what's been proven' somehow
got twisted into It is irrational to believe in anything that hasn't been
proven." (Video: "Conversations with God")
By "proven" skeptics mean proven according to the scientific method,
which they consider to be the only reliable method. There are several problems
with this argument:
1) First of all, just because something hasn't been proven and established
in mainstream science doesn't mean it doesn't exist or isn't true. If it did,
then nothing would exist until proven or discovered. Bacteria and germs would
never have caused illnesses until they were proven and discovered, smoking would
not cause cancer until it was proven, the planet Pluto would not have existed
until it was discovered, etc. Anyone knows that this simply is not so. For instance,
when Acupuncture was first introduced in the West, skeptics and certain scientists
claimed that it had no basis and only worked due to the placebo effect because
they couldnt understand how it worked. This reflected the typical false
thinking of skeptics that anything they dont understand must be due to
superstition or chance. However, practitioners and believers knew otherwise
and were later validated by extensive studies have been done to show that it
indeed does work for treating various ailments and getting results which placebos
cant account for. An extensive listing of these research studies can be
found on the Med lab website. In fact, the AMA (American Medical Association)
has already declared that Acupuncture works and is an effective treatment, proving
the skeptics wrong. The point is that Acupuncture worked before it was proven
to work, not after.
2) Second, just because something hasn't been proven to established science
doesn't mean that it hasn't been proved firsthand to certain people. Established
views are not the dictum of all reality. Many types of paranormal phenomena
have been proved firsthand to eyewitnesses and experiencers. For example, even
though the cases of NDEs don't prove the existence of an afterlife (at
least not yet), those who have experienced them claim that the experience of
the separation of body and spirit is firsthand proof to them of an afterlife,
just as riding in a car is firsthand proof that cars exist, and they fear death
no more. Those who have OBEs (Out of Body Experiences) also make similar
claims, and they need no proof nor do they need to convince anyone. These claims
are further supported by the fact that in many documented cases the subject
could hear conversations or see things in other rooms and other places, which
are later confirmed and verified to be remarkably accurate. Who's to say that
they're wrong just because we haven't had the same experiences? That would be
equivalent to saying that because Ive never been to Japan, everyone else
who claims to have been there is mistaken or deluded. The same goes for eyewitnesses
of ghosts, UFO's (Unidentified Flying Objects), alien abductions, Bigfoot, etc.
These sightings and encounters range from the obscure and distant to ones that
are crystal clear and at point-blank-range, making them much harder to dismiss.
3) Third, many research experiments and studies conducted under the scientific
method HAVE passed with positive results. For example, experiments in micro-psychokinesis
done by Dr. Robert Jahn and Brenda Dunn at the Princeton Engineering Anomalies
Research labs (PEAR) using random generator machines to measure subjects
PK influence on them, obtained positive consistent results for over 20 years.
These were done under proper controls and scientific procedures, even according
to prominent skeptic Ray Hyman, who investigated the Prince experiments in person
and conceded that he could find no flaws in the methodology. The small but consistent
results achieved by PEAR over 20 years are calculated by chance alone to be
1 in 1035. (For more on PEAR, see their website at www.princeton.edu/~pear/index.html).
Likewise, the Ganzfeld experiments in telepathy done in the early 70s
also had repeated success, with receivers in 42 controlled experiments scoring
an average of 38 to 45 percent compared to the chance rate of 25 percent. (See
Argument # 17) The odds of that occurring by chance are less than one in a billion.
More recently, controlled experiments involving four prominent mediums accuracy
were done by Dr. Gary Schwartz of the Human Energy Lab of the University of
Arizona. (See Argument # 16) These mediums achieved a hit rate 70 to 90 percent,
even when in one experiment they were NOT allowed to ask any questions of the
sitters or see them! Skeptics repeatedly continue to ignore this fact! (See
the Jan 2001 edition of the Journal for the Society of Psychical Research) A
list of studies that produced psi results can be found in Dean Radin's book
The Conscious Universe: The Scientific Truth of Psychic Phenomena. Many researchers
will tell you that these studies prove that telepathy and micro-psychokinesis
exist at least on the micro level. The skeptics, of course will say that those
tests yielded impossible results and therefore were not done under properly
controlled conditions, or else the researchers overzealous desire to get
psi results botched the results. But this of course reflects their bias and
a priori dismissal of facts that dont fit in with their beliefs. It is
not logical to deny the facts that dont support your beliefs, it is more
logical to update your beliefs to account for the facts. Nevertheless, new scientific
discoveries tend to pass through stages first before being accepted (see last
paragraph of Argument # 8)
4) Fourth, just because something is irrational to skeptics doesn't mean that
it is irrational to others who know or believe that it is real. Skeptics and
scientific materialists do not have the monopoly on rational thinking. Lots
of rational intelligent intellectual people believe in God, spiritual dimensions,
or that there is more to reality than the material world. The skeptics' system
of rational thinking is not the dictatum by which all things that exist must
conform to. This can easily be demonstrated by all the things that skeptics
have been wrong about before, such as flight, laws of physics, quantum mechanics,
giant squid, etc. proving their fallibility.
Argument # 2: "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence."
This seems to be the mantra of hard nosed skeptics. One common way it is presented
goes like this:
"If my friend told me that on the way here he was delayed because his
car got a flat tire, then I would believe it because it is an ordinary claim.
However, if he claimed that on his way here he was temporarily abducted by aliens
in a UFO, then I would not believe his claim because it is extraordinary in
nature. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence."
Now it would help if the skeptics who proclaim this argument specify what they
would accept as extraordinary evidence. Otherwise, arbitrarily stating this
argument gives one an out no matter what evidence is shown. While it is reasonable
to expect a higher standard of evidence for more extraordinary claims, there
are nevertheless 6 difficulties to keep in mind.
1) First, although this rule is good as a general guideline, the fact that
3 possible alternatives exist make this rule fallible.
a) It is possible for something to exist without leaving behind collectable
evidence as a souvenir to us. For example, planes, radio waves, electromagnetism,
and light move around without leaving "hard evidence" yet they exist.
Therefore, extraordinary phenomena can easily exist without leaving behind extraordinary
evidence.
b) It is possible for something to exist yet the evidence for it hasn't been
found or understood yet, which is the case for almost every discovery in history
from fire and wheels to gunpowder and gravity, to planets, atoms and electromagnetism.
c) It is possible that the evidence is already there but that it's subject
to interpretation, making it controversial. This is true for instance, of the
alleged mysterious implants found by doctors and surgeons in alleged alien abductees.
So even when something leaves a trail, residue or mark, they are subject to
interpretation anyway.
Of course, skeptics have argued that all these things are possible but not
probable, hence the requirement for extraordinary evidence. However, in order
to really know all that is probable and improbable in the universe and reality,
it would require that one have complete knowledge of every dimension and reality
that exists in the universe and beyond. No one, neither skeptic nor believer,
has that kind of knowledge, at least not consciously. Therefore, it would be
more accurate to state that:
"Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence to convince skeptics,
but not necessarily to exist in objective reality."
2) Definitions of "extraordinary claims" vary based on prior beliefs
and experiences. Not everyone agrees on whether a claim is extraordinary or
ordinary. Suppose we were fishes for example, and lived underwater our whole
lives without ever seeing or hearing about land. The claim of land existing
above water would be an extraordinary claim to us, though not to the creatures
living on the land above. Now obviously just because the claim of land is extraordinary
to us as fishes does not mean that the land doesnt exist. The point is
that extraordinary claims are not extraordinary to everyone. What is extraordinary
to some is ordinary and natural to others depending on their experience and
level of consciousness. For example, the internal body energy of chi gong (or
quigong) is mystical to Westerners but has been a natural everyday part of life
for thousands of years in Asia. Chi is used, felt, and observed by its practitioners
much the same as the effects of gravity are felt and observed by us. Likewise,
the concept of Astral Projections and Out of Body Experiences is extraordinary
to those who have never experienced them, but for those who experience them
regularly, it is an ordinary thing to them that they know is a reality. In the
same way, our cars, radios and cell phones are extraordinary to tribal natives
in remote parts of Africa, but ordinary to us. The best solution, in my opinion,
is for everybody to put their cards on the table by honestly specifying their
prior beliefs. This sets the standards for what is to be expected and leads
to a better mutual understanding of each other.
3) Different people have different standards for what is "extraordinary
evidence." Depending on your definition, it could be said that we already
have some extraordinary evidence for certain types of paranormal claims. Take
the following 4 types of phenomena for instance.
a) UFO's (Unidentified Flying Objects): It can be said that there is extraordinary
evidence to support the existence of UFO's from unexplainable photographs, video
camera footage, multiple eyewitness sightings, abduction reports, Air Force
radar reports, etc. All of these constitute convincing evidence for some people,
but not for others. Although much of it can be explained as misperceptions,
natural phenomena, weather balloons, aircraft, birds, balls of lightning, luminous
Earth lights, etc. there are still many cases which are unexplainable and display
features not known of any natural phenomena. One example is the White House
Merry Go Round Incident of July 1952 where Air Force fighters repeatedly chased
UFOs that kept appearing on Air Force radar was never adequately explained.
Even skeptics admit that some cases are unexplainable, though they claim that
unexplainable does not mean inexplicable. (See Argument # 11)
Since its not always possible for extraordinary things to leave behind
some type of tangible evidence, if I saw a UFO at close range and didn't have
my camera with me and then it flew away, how am I expected to have extraordinary
evidence? Am I supposed to be able to call that UFO back as if it were under
my command or chase it like Superman? The fact that this event happened without
our control makes us unable to satisfy this criteria. The same goes with ghosts
and other things.
For hard nosed skeptics though, even good evidence will not be enough, since
their mentality is to debunk rather than to discover and learn. You see, even
if I had a piece of a crashed flying saucer and showed it to them, they would
just say that it is probably just a piece of top secret military aircraft that
we don't know about yet. They would want the full saucer itself to be convinced.
Then if I found a whole saucer and showed it to them, that would still not be
enough because then they could say that there is no proof that the saucer is
extraterrestrial in origin and that it could just be a secret type of aircraft
invented by the military. Of course, if they had real alien bodies in front
of them, then it'd be much harder to dismiss <g> but you get the idea
here. They will continually raise the bar. It's their mentality that causes
them to close their minds and ignore everything that doesn't fit into their
viewpoint.
b) Ghosts and Spirits: The same goes with ghosts. There are many credible witnesses
who have seen ghosts and experienced unexplainable things taking place in haunted
houses, such as sudden apparitions, the feeling of an unseen presence, unnatural
movement of objects, frequent displacement of things around the house, sounds,
voices, etc. Paranormal investigators have even used geiger counters that detected
electrical activity in a haunted area. Plus, there are also countless stories
of hauntings in all around the world from the mundane to the incredible and
uncanny. Although these claims are largely anecdotal, we must understand that
while anecdotal evidence is not completely reliable, it is not completely unreliable
either and is considered to be evidence in societal functions depending on various
factors. (See Argument # 5 regarding the validity of anecdotal evidence) In
addition, the amount of anecdotal evidence is also relevant because the higher
the number and the more credible the witnesses, the stronger the evidence.
However, die hard skeptics will not consider anecdotal evidence to be valid
evidence regardless of the amount. To them, credible evidence has to be measurable
in some conventional way and reproduced at our beck and call. The problem with
this is that what we can measure is limited to our level of technology. For
instance, before we had the technology to measure seismic-activity in the Earths
crust, they still existed even though they couldnt yet be measured. Furthermore,
since we cant see radio waves, electromagnetism, air, gravity, magnetic
force, etc. but they exist anyway, it is logical to assume that there are other
things that could exist but arent yet measurable. Our technology may not
be up to the level to measure other things that could be there. Or it may be
that our technology can only detect things of the physical plane and not the
spiritual plane. Looking for physical evidence of something spiritual is like
looking for evidence in the ocean for the existence of Mars rather than looking
for it in space.
c) ESP (Extra Sensory Perception) and Telepathy: This is also especially true
for ESP and telepathy. Experiments under controlled conditions have been done
that revealed consistent well above chance results, which strongly point to
the conclusion that ESP and telepathy exist at least to a small degree. (See
Dean Radins The Conscious Universe and Bernard Gittelsons Intangible
Evidence for more specifics) These experiments, particularly the Ganzfeld and
Autoganzfeld experiments done from 1974 to 1997, were repeatable too, with 2,549
sessions showing above average results. (See Argument # 17) The problem is that
not all scientists and researchers are able to produce the same results. Skeptics
usually point to the failures of psi experiments and ignore the successes. They
will accept the failed psi experiments as evidence against psi, but not the
successful psi experiments as evidence for psi. This is an obvious double standard,
which is typical of closed-minded skeptics. One skeptic I debated did not consider
the high success of the Ganzfeld experiments as evidence for psi. She pointed
out that the few failed experiments invalidated the other successful ones! She
wanted a 100 percent success rate. (and even if she got a 100 percent success
rate, she would obviously have moved the goal posts and charged fraud! Very
few things are 100 percent!) Of course, not all skeptics are that closed-minded,
but this gives you an idea of the mentality of closed-minded skeptics. Im
not saying that we should only pay attention to the successes and ignore the
failures either, but that we should take them both into account, and when we
do so, there is in fact strong consistent evidence that psi exists, both from
scientific experiments and overwhelmingly large anecdotal evidence. It is possible
of course, that some scientists skew the psi results because they are eager
to find evidence for psi, but why do skeptics automatically assume that it must
be that? Obviously its because of their preconceived beliefs (which they
will not admit). If ESP and telepathy exist, it doesn't mean that it has to
be controllable at our beck and call like some raw energy. We've only begun
to scratch the outskirts on the nature of the whole thing anyway.
Besides experiments, countless accounts of psychic experiences abound, both
documented and undocumented. Studies show that about 2/3 of Americans claim
to have had psychic experiences, making them quite common rather than "extraordinary".
The most common type of psychic experience is telepathy, such as when loved
ones and close friends from vast distances apart know at the exact time when
something traumatic happened to the other. Sometimes, every detail of the traumatic
event is observed or felt from afar. They are extremely powerful personal proof.
I've had a few of these kind myself. Often, what was suddenly felt out of nowhere
about what happened to the loved one is later verified to be true, occurring
at exactly the time it was dreamt or felt. This suggests some subconscious telepathic
link between people who are close. Experiences of this kind are in fact very
common. Skeptics of course say that these kind of things are nothing but pure
coincidence, but this is unsubstantiated and a rush to judgment. They just dont
realize that just because something happens that they cant understand
doesnt mean that it MUST be coincidence or chance. In the same manner,
if someone spoke Spanish and I didnt, that doesnt mean that the
person speaking Spanish is speaking random gibberish. If someone living in a
tribe in Africa saw me turning channels with my remote and didnt understand
how remote controls work, that doesnt mean that my pushing buttons on
the remote and the channels changing are just a coincidence!
d) Mystical Experiences: And what about mystical experiences, spiritual enlightenment,
being "born again", Near Death Experiences and Out of Body Experiences?
These can also be said by those who experience them to be extraordinary evidence
as well, because they are often self-authenticating and life changing in themselves.
As the 1994 New Grolier Multimedia Encyclopedia states under Mysticism:
"Mysticism in general refers to a direct and immediate experience of the
sacred, or the knowledge derived from such an experience.
. First,
the experience is immediate and overwhelming, divorced from the common experience
of reality. Second, the experience or the knowledge imparted by it is felt to
be self-authenticating, without need of further evidence or justification. Finally,
it is held to be ineffable, its essence incapable of being expressed or understood
outside the experience itself
. the experience itself is always of
an Absolute that transcends the human efforts or methods of achieving it."
(New Grolier Multimedia Encyclopedia 1994)
Experiencers will describe these experiences not as faith-based, but an "inner
knowing." The fact that these type of experiences are dramatically life
changing makes them "extraordinary evidence" themselves simply because
ordinary experiences don't alter people's lives in this way. To say that these
self-authenticating, life changing experiences are just pure imagination is
closed minded to say the least. As Faith, a practitioner of Shakti Gaivism and
one who has had all-pervasive cosmic transcendental experiences of God in Unity
state, constantly reminds us on my email group:
"But remember .. there is "Belief" a chosen activity of mind...
and there is an actual Knowing... via direct experience. They are 2 differnt
things. I never could accept chosen Belief.. THAT is why I was an Agnostic.
I like the example of the person working in an inner office with no windows.
A co-worker could come in and tell them it is raining out. IF they accept That
as truth... it is ONLY a chosen belief. But.. If they were to go outside themselves
and stand in the driving rain and get soaking wet... then that is no longer
a chosen belief... that would qualify as an actual Knowing.. by Direct experience.
Your Mind is Limited... but "YOU" are far greater than your mind...
you are ALL that is..... you just cannot see it yet. Mind keeps you contracted....
but You can go beyond individual mind and tap the All Knowing. The only way
you can KNOW this... is by experiencing it. I am not talking about "Belief"
here... but direct experience. IF you were to accept what I say here.... THAT
would be a Belief.... No Good in my book or yours either I am sure. So... I
will NOT be disappointed if you do not ACCEPT what I say.... on the other hand.....
You cannot really know that what I say is really illogical babble either......
I think the fairest thing to do is... stay open to the possibilities.... That
there are things beyond the scope of Science, things that your current logic
based min has not been exposed to.... but that are none the less Possible."
- Faith (FaithRada@aol.com)
4) "Extraordinary evidence" is subject to perspective because those
who have firsthand direct experience of the phenomena already have their "extraordinary
evidence" while others who havent, dont. (See Argument # 5
regarding anecdotal evidence.) For instance, those who have had full blown OBEs
already have a realization and knowing that separation of body and spirit can
and has taken place, and that there is life after death, especially if they
are able to witness specific details at a distance which are later verified
as accurate. For them the experience is as apparent as it would be apparent
to you whether you were in your own car or house. Similarly, those with transcendent
mystical experiences describe it as an "inner knowing" that transcends
all description and removes all doubt. In the same fashion, those who have seen
Bigfoot or ghosts firsthand at close point-blank-range also have their "extraordinary
evidence."
5) The argument is based on an unproven premise. It is based on the premise
that paranormal phenomena are either impossible or extremely improbable. The
reason it reflects this premise is obvious. Someone who believes that paranormal
events are impossible is obviously going to need a lot more proof than someone
who believes that they are possible and normal. However, just because miracles,
ESP, sightings of apparitions, or OBEs haven't happened to skeptics doesn't
mean they haven't happened to others. Likewise, just because I havent
been to Spain doesnt mean that everyone who has is mistaken or deluded.
In order for one to know what is impossible or improbable, one would have to
be an all knowing creator of the universe who possesses every knowledge that
there is. But none of these hard nosed skeptics are anywhere near that level,
so their assumption that paranormal events are impossible in my view is baseless.
As scientist and author Arthur C. Clarke states in his first law:
"When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible,
he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he
is very probably wrong."
6) The argument favors conservatism or retaining the established theory in
spite of contrary evidence. This has its pros and cons. Obviously, it makes
sense to retain what works until something better comes along. However, when
it comes to modifying our paradigms or world view we also tend to resist change,
even when the data calls for it. This argument I fear, is used as an excuse
for those who resist change. But if we never abandoned theories or expanded
them, then science would not make progress. History has shown that progress
comes with new discoveries and abandoning old outdated theories that no longer
fit the new data acquired. This skeptical rule does not specify a sufficient
condition for sufficient evidence. Therefore, rules should be established to
clarify whether a competing theory is promising enough to warrant further research
so that when those rules are satisfied, excuses cant be used to try to
dismiss the evidence off hand. Otherwise, as Ron Pearson says in his article
Theoretical Physics Back Survival: (http://www.ozemail.com.au/~vwzammit/afterlifech33.html#Heading34)
Science, however, cannot progress by theory alone; it requires a synthesis
of theory and experiment. When observation runs ahead of theory to provide anomalies
which seem inexplicable, then as history has shown by repeating itself over
and over, the anomalies are avoided, ignored or discredited in order to maintain
the status quo: to avoid the need to injure existing intellectual vested interests.
Argument # 3: The Occams Razor rule.
Typical usage: "When there are two competing explanations for an event,
the simpler one is more likely."
This argument is a principle that skeptics often misuse to try to force alternate
explanations to a paranormal events, even if those explanations involve false
accusations or do not fit the facts. This principle was popularized by scientist
Carl Sagan in his novel turned movie "Contact", where Jodie Foster
quotes it while during a conversation with a theist to defend her belief that
God doesnt exist. (Ironically, at the end of the movie it is used against
her in a public interrogation by a National Security Agent.) However, an analysis
on the facts and assumptions of this argument reveals some obvious problems.
1) First of all, Occams Razor, termed by 14th Century logician and friar
William of Occam, refers to a concept that states that "Entities should
not be multiplied unnecessarily." It was not intended to be used to evaluate
claims of the paranormal as skeptics today use it for. As Phil Gibbs points
out in "Physics FAQ": (http://www.weburbia.com/physics/)
"To begin with we used Occam's razor to separate theories which would
predict the same result for all experiments. Now we are trying to choose between
theories which make different predictions. This is not what Occam intended
..
The principle of simplicity works as a heuristic rule-of-thumb but some people
quote it as if it is an axiom of physics. It is not. It can work well in philosophy
or particle physics, but less often so in cosmology or psychology, where things
usually turn out to be more complicated than you ever expected. Perhaps a quote
from Shakespeare would be more appropriate than Occam's razor: "There are
more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, Than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
"The law of parsimony is no substitute for insight, logic and the scientific
method. It should never be relied upon to make or defend a conclusion. As arbiters
of correctness only logical consistency and empirical evidence are absolute."
Even Isaac Newton didnt use Occams Razor like the skeptics of today
do. His version of it was "We are to admit no more causes of natural things
than such as are both true and sufficient to explain their appearances."
(see same Physics FAQ) Obviously, he was referring to explanations to explain
natural phenomena, not paranormal or supernatural phenomena!
2) Second, what is "simpler" is often relative. As Phil Gibbs points
out in the same Physics FAQ:
"Simplicity is subjective and the universe does not always have the same
ideas about simplicity as we do."
3) Third, even if we take Occams Razor at face value the way skeptics
use it, just because one explanation is more likely doesnt mean that its
always the correct one. For example, if I toss a die, it is more likely that
I will get numbers 1-5 than it is that I will roll a 6. But that doesnt
mean that a 6 will never come up. Therefore, occasionally an unlikely explanation
can be expected to be true sometimes. However, skeptics treat Occams Razor
as if it were an absolute rule and use it as an excuse for denying any claim,
no matter how valid.
4) Fourth, while Occams Razor may be a good rule of thumb, the problem
with it is that skeptics tend to use it as an excuse to insert false explanations
over paranormal ones. They will do this even if it means denying the facts and
assuming things that arent true or didnt happen. For example, if
someone had an amazing psychic reading at a psychic fair (not prearranged) where
they were told something very specific that couldnt have been guessed
by cold reading, skeptics would start inventing false accusations such as: "Someone
who knew you must have tipped off the psychic in advance", "A spy
in the room must have overheard you mention the specific detail before the reading",
"You must have something in your appearance that reveals the detail",
"You must have remembered it wrong since memory is fallible", etc.
Even if none of these accusations are true, skeptics will still insist on it
simply because its the simpler explanation to them. Similarly, when someone
during an NDE or OBE hears a conversation or witnesses something many miles
away and later upon verification, it turns out to be true, the skeptics will
say that the simpler explanation is that the patient knew about the detail or
conversation beforehand but forgot it. Likewise, if someone has a close up encounter
of Bigfoot, skeptics will use Occams Razor to claim that it is more likely
that the experiencer was either lying or hallucinating. Even if none of those
alternate explanations are true, skeptics will still insist on them anyway,
using Occams Razor as justification. Hence, they prefer a false non-paranormal
explanation, even if untrue, rather than accept the truth that it happened the
way described. This is clearly a case of bias rather than objectivity. What
skeptics dont seem to understand is that reality is not confined or measured
by Occams Razor, and the use of Occams Razor in this manner does
nothing but impede progress and learning.
Argument # 4: The "invisible pink unicorn / dragon in the garage"
false comparison tactic.
Typical Usage: "Of course I can't prove that God, spirits, UFOs,
paranormal phenomena or metaphysical realities don't exist, but you can't prove
to me that invisible pink unicorns don't exist either."
The comparison used in this skeptical argument is notoriously common, yet severely
flawed and ludicrous. It is often more of a belittling tactic than a reasoned
logical argument. Used when skeptics are challenged to disprove a paranormal
claim, they often state it like this: "Of course I can't prove that God,
spirits, UFOs, paranormal phenomena or metaphysical realities don't exist,
but you can't prove to me that invisible pink unicorns don't exist either."
Other similar variations of this are "but you cant prove to me that
there wasnt a dragon hiding in my garage either" and "but you
cant prove to me that little green gremlins arent stealing pennies
from my pockets either," etc. The premise behind this argument is that
if a claim is unprovable, then its in the same category as everything
thats been made up or fictionalized. However, it is a complete straw man
argument because it falsely redefines the opposing position in terms that make
it more easily attackable, using false comparisons. A simple examination reveals
this.
1) First of all, the biggest problem with this argument is that what people
actually experience is NOT the same thing as what a skeptic deliberately makes
up for satirical purposes! To compare the two is ludicrous and illogical. Since
the skeptic using this argument hasnt really experienced invisible pink
unicorns himself, everyone knows that he is deliberately making up something
fictitious to put down something he doesnt believe in while the experiencer
or claimant is not. Comparing them would be like comparing my real life experience
of visiting a foreign country to any fictitious story you can find such as Peter
Pan or The Wizard of Oz. That simply makes no sense, even if misperception was
involved on my part in my experience. Not only would that be nonsensical, but
also both downgrading and insensitive.
2) Second, what someone sincerely believes is NOT the same as what someone
knowingly makes up. Since the skeptic who uses this argument dont believe
in invisible pink unicorns himself, it is pointless as well as inconsiderate
to compare that to what people genuinely believe and experience, such as God,
spirits, or ESP. Of course, just because someone genuinely believes something
doesnt make it true, but to compare an honest person to a deliberate fraud
is not a valid comparison.
3) Third, if like paranormal, psychic, religious, and spiritual experiences,
there were millions of credible intelligent people out there claiming to have
seen or experienced invisible pink unicorns or dragons in their garage, then
this comparison would have some merit. But there arent, so this comparison
is without merit.
4) Fourth, the significant difference between experiencing God, the divine,
or the mystical, and the fictional example of invisible pink unicorns is that
throughout history millions of honest, sane, intelligent people have experiences
with the former which resulted in life changing effects, but the same can't
be said for invisible pink unicorns.
5) Fifth, just because something is unprovable does not automatically put it
in the same category as everything else that is unprovable. For example, I cant
prove what I ate last night for dinner or what I thought about. Without witnesses,
I cant prove what I saw on TV or how high I scored in a video game either.
But that doesnt mean that these things are in the same category as every
story in the fiction section of the library.
The bottom line is that while it is true that no one can disprove the existence
of invisible pink unicorns, the evidence to support God, spirits and psychic
phenomena, although mostly anecdotal, is vastly greater, more significant, more
relevant, and more sincere than the evidence to support invisible pink unicorns
and other fictitious examples deliberately made up by skeptics.
Argument # 5: The "anecdotal evidence is invalid" argument.
Typical usage: "All that we have to support paranormal claims is anecdotal
evidence, which is unreliable and not valid evidence for paranormal claims."
Corollary: "Anecdotal evidence is worthless as scientific evidence."
The "anecdotal evidence" classification is one of the main categories
that skeptics put paranormal evidence into in order to dismiss it. (Another
category being the "unreplicable / uncontrolled" group that scientific
experiments supporting Psi are often put into. See Arguments # 17, 18) Skeptics
who use this argument often claim that the evidence we have for paranormal claims
is largely anecdotal and therefore worthless as scientific evidence. They claim
that anecdotal evidence is invalid because it is largely untestable and subject
to error. Some skeptics will even go so far as to say that anecdotal evidence
is zero evidence. Not surprisingly though, skeptics tend to quote anecdotal
evidence when it supports their side! (another double standard) Therefore it
appears that classifying evidence as "anecdotal" is simply a dismissal
tactic to try to discredit evidence that skeptics cant explain away.
One of the ways that skeptics dismiss anecdotal evidence to classify witnesses
as either mistaken, lying, or hallucinating. This again reflect bias and pre-judgment
on their part. Skeptics dont really know that a claimant must fit one
of the above categories, they simply put them there to keep their mental model
paradigms intact. This is further evidenced by the fact that many skeptics will
continue to insist on one of these three categories even when they are shown
to be either impossible or too unlikely to consider. This reflects cynicism
rather than true skepticism.
While it may be true that paranormal evidence is largely anecdotal in nature,
that by no means makes them worthless or untrue. Not only is anecdotal evidence
mostly reliable with regard to everyday things, but its reliability can
further be measured based on several factors. Consider the following.
1) Anecdotal evidence is mostly reliable in regard to everyday things. The
main problem with the "anecdotal evidence is invalid" argument is
that anecdotal evidence IS in fact mostly reliable with regard to everyday mundane
things. Most of the stories and things I hear about tend to check out. If a
tourist who visited France described the details of the Eiffel Tower to me,
I could easily check it out by looking up books or brochures on it. When I hear
that there is a sale going on for something at the local store, it is validated
if I go and check it out. Once, when I heard that a new Star Wars movie was
coming out, a year later the movie Star Wars The Phantom Menace came out. When
I hear secondhand that something happened on the news, all I have to do is to
turn on the news later and what I heard will be verified, often with regard
to specific details such as names, number of victims, price hikes, etc. So we
do see that anecdotal evidence is reliable in general. My experience has shown
that over 90 percent of things I hear about check out later on. Now since anecdotal
evidence is reliable and trustworthy for the MOST part with regard to everyday
things, why should it be any different for paranormal phenomena just because
it lies outside the skeptics belief system? With skeptics, what is mostly
reliable suddenly becomes worthless zero evidence. This is because this argument
is a dismissal tactic, used by pseudo-skeptics who prefer to lump all paranormal
claims into the small percentage of instances that anecdotal evidence is mistaken
or fraudulent. What they dont realize though, is that if skeptics were
right about anecdotal evidence being unreliable, then most of the things I hear
about with regard to everyday things would check out to be false, but in fact
the exact opposite is true as I just mentioned! This alone seriously damages
the dogma of this argument.
2) Anecdotal evidence is dependent upon perspective. My firsthand direct experiences
are anecdotal evidence to others, while their direct experiences are anecdotal
to me too. Therefore, whether something is anecdotal or not depends on whether
or not you are the experiencer, rather than on it being true or false. Obviously,
just because something happens to someone else doesnt mean that its
false. This is not to say that what everyone says is true, but that just because
my firsthand experience is anecdotal to someone else does not diminish its validity,
especially if I am telling the truth. Of course, since closed-minded skeptics
tend to prefer any explanation rather than a paranormal one, they will consistently
use this dismissal tactic.
3) Important variables increase the reliability of anecdotal evidence. The
degree of reliability of anecdotal evidence can usually be measured by variables
such as:
a) The number of eyewitnesses.
b) The consistency of the observations and claims.
c) The credibility of the witnesses.
d) The clarity of and proximity of the observation.
e) The state of mind of the witnesses.
That is why anecdotal evidence is commonly accepted in many societal functions,
such as in the court of law, with the strength of evidence directly proportionate
to the number of eyewitnesses. If it was no evidence at all, the courts wouldn't
be using it as such, but they do. Job interviewers rely on anecdotal evidence
when they screen applicants by checking their references and former employers.
If anecdotal evidence was worthless, they wouldnt be doing that. Most
of us rely on anecdotal evidence when we get feedback from others about which
brand of products are worth buying, which restaurants have good service, etc.
(Of course, we consider this evidence more valid when it comes from people we
know and trust.) In addition, psychiatric treatments and new medications are
often evaluated based on anecdotal evidence.
Here is a further elaboration on the variables that determine the degree of
reliability of anecdotal evidence, and how they have been more than adequately
met for many paranormal phenomena.
a) The number and amount of eyewitnesses, testimonials and claims. The more
eyewitnesses and testimonies there are, the greater the weight of evidence.
If one person told me something amazing, Id doubt it. But if a considerable
number of people told me the same thing including people I know and trust, then
I might think that there could be something to it. To put it simply, something
is MORE likely to be true if a lot of people can attest to than if no one attested
to it. This criteria is definitely met in the case of psychic phenomena and
divine experiences. Surveys show that two-thirds of Americans claim to have
had psychic experiences (mostly in the telepathic area) which is a significant
number ranging over two hundred million in this country, not counting the rest
of the world!
b) The consistency in the observations and claims of witnesses. The consistency
in the reports we get is also significant. If people were lying or hallucinating,
then it is unlikely for there to be consistency in their claims. Of course,
consistency in observations and experiences does not mean that what was perceived
was really what occurred, but it helps rule out fraud for the most part and
points us in the right direction. This criteria is also met for some paranormal
phenomena. In multiple witness sightings of ghosts and UFOs for instance,
there are accounts of several or more people witnessing the same thing and describing
the same details. Even more striking is consistency among people who dont
know each other nor live near one another. For example, in the case of NDEs,
we have great consistency among experiencers in the form of seeing their body
below them, moving through a tunnel, going to a great light of love that some
call God, going through a life review, returning with permanent life changes,
etc. Of course, skeptics see this consistency as supporting their side because
they see it as pointing to the similar brain structure that we humans have,
which shuts down in a way that produces similar NDEs. More on NDEs
will be elaborated in Argument # 23.
c) The credibility of the witnesses. The credibility of those making the reports
and claims is also significant. Factors that influence credibility include integrity,
character, whether theyve been known to lie before, education and expertise,
mental stability, how well we know them personally (obviously you would place
more value in the claim of someone you know and trust as opposed to a stranger),
etc. We definitely have anecdotal evidence from this group for various paranormal/psychic
phenomena. That is indisputable. Doctors and scientists of esteemed reputations
have attested to miracles or paranormal phenomena. Trained radar personnel and
Air Force observers have observed UFOs both on radar and in the sky. Accomplished
quantum physicists have found quantum evidence that make psychic phenomena more
plausible, such as the discovery that particles behave differently when observed
as opposed to unobserved, the nonlocality and connectedness of twin particles
that are split, etc. (see Fred Alan Wolfes Taking the Quantum Leap and
Michael Talbots The Holographic Universe) Prominent Psychiatrists such
as Dr. Brian Weiss, author of Many Lives, Many Masters, have discovered and
documented clinical evidence that past life memories are real and can be verified.
Besides experts, people that we know and trust also claim to experience or observed
things of a paranormal nature. Note that Im not saying that an appeal
to authority means that its right, only that it carries more weight.
d) The proximity and clarity of the observation. How close and clear an observation
or experience takes place also an important factor. If someone thinks they see
Bigfoot as a speck in the distance, then it could be dismissed as almost anything.
However, if they saw Bigfoot at close-up point-blank-range, then it would be
much more compelling and harder to dismiss. For the person to be mistaken at
point-blank-range, he/she would have to be either lying or greatly hallucinating
and in need of help. Otherwise, the skeptics should do some serious thinking
about their beliefs! Again, this criteria has been met for some paranormal phenomena
such as Bigfoot, UFOs and apparitions, which have been reportedly seen
at point-blank-range in crystal clarity. Any research into will reveal lists
of testimonials of this close-up nature.
e) The state of mind of the witness at the time. Another relevant variable
is the mental state of the witness, which include factors such as their alertness
level, fatigue level, intoxication level, emotional level, fear and panic level,
etc. This criteria has also been satisfied for paranormal/psychic phenomena
because many of the witnesses were sober, awake and sane at the time of their
observations and experiences.
f) What the witnesses/experiencers stand to gain from their testimony or claim.
Whether the witnesses profit in any way is also a factor to consider. What one
stands to profit puts doubt on their sincerity since they have ulterior motives
which might skew their objectivity. On the other hand, if they have nothing
to gain then they are less likely to be manipulating us unless it was out of
their genuine belief. This is especially so if theyve suffered ridicule
and damage to their reputation for their claims. The latter has been true for
both paranormal experiencers as well as those who made new discoveries that
validated paranormal phenomena. Esteemed scientists and experts in their fields
have risked their reputations to share their discoveries. These include physicist
David Bohm (a protégé of Einstein and author of Wholeness and
the Implicate Order) who postulated consciousness related quantum physics theories
that contradicted the reductionist views of the universe, Miami Chair of Psychiatry
Dr. Brian Weiss (author of Many Lives Many Masters) who endured ridicule and
criticism from his peers for his clinical reports and discoveries in past life
regression, and others.
Now of course not all of the evidence for every paranormal and psychic phenomena
have met all these criteria, but many of them have met some or all of them.
Therefore we can conclude that the evidence is overwhelmingly strong, and certainly
not zero evidence like the skeptics claim.
Ordinarily, anecdotal evidence this strong is accepted as valid evidence in
most circumstances, so why not in regard to paranormal or psychic phenomena,
especially when its so common? The reason is because skeptics and certain
scientists dont think these things are possible, therefore they assume
that the fallibility of anecdotes must be the cause. In my experience with skeptics
though, no matter how much better evidence you give them, they will still find
excuses to reject them, even if it means imposing double standards, denying
facts or preferring false explanations over paranormal ones. It is apparent
that closed minded skeptics arent looking for evidence, but ways to shut
it out to protect their views. After all, if theyre really looking for
evidence, then why would they shut it out every time it comes up?
Even arch skeptic Bob Carroll of The Skeptics Dictionary (http://www.skepdic.com)
says that while anecdotal evidence may not be proof, but it helps point us in
the right direction. (http://www.skepdic.com/comments/ndecom.html) This isnt
saying of course, that we should believe every anecdotal claim out there. That
would be foolish. This is just saying that just because an anecdotal claim doesnt
fit ones world view, doesnt mean that it must be due to mistake,
fraud or hallucination. The bottom line here is that although lots of people
saying something doesnt mean its true, (the ad populum argument)
it at makes it MORE likely to be true compared to if no one at all said it was
true.
Finally, it can also be said that the skeptics subjective dismissal of
anothers experience is just as unreliable as any anecdotal evidence. Greg
Stone, director of the film "A Campaign to Remember" with Ted Koppel
and an NDE/consciousness expert, makes some intriguing points about how skeptics
treat anecdotal evidence: (taken from his email to me)
(referring to the writings of Skeptic Paul Kurtz):
"I suggest that rather than rejecting the eyewitness accounts of so many
as unreliable, that he understand that his offhand subjective dismissal of anothers
experience is equally unreliable. What is missing is his attempt at understanding
what is -- based upon the accounts. That they are laden with the complexity
of personal observation does not mean the underlying phenomena are not actual
and real. The confusion of the scientist in sorting out complex evidence does
not itself render the phenomena unreal...it only means the scientist lacks the
insight or tools to do the work. Only a fool of a scientist would dismiss the
evidence and reports in front of him and substitute his own beliefs in their
place."
Argument # 6: The memory malleability argument to dismiss anecdotal evidence.
Typical Usage: "Memory is malleable and unreliable. People can remember
a highly edited version of what occurred, making anecdotal evidence unreliable."
A common skeptical sub-tactic to try to further discredit anecdotal evidence
(covered above in Argument # 5) is to attack the reliability of peoples
memory. Skeptics argue that since memory is malleable, then the memory of paranormal
experiencers is unreliable and therefore not to be trusted as valid evidence.
This is related to the concept of False Memory Syndrome. Skeptics also try to
justify it by using Occams Razor, claiming that inaccurate memory is a
more probable and simpler explanation than any paranormal one. However, two
significant problems with this argument reveal that is not only weak, but inapplicable
as well, making it one of the least convincing of the skeptical arguments.
1) The main problem with this is that although memory isnt perfect and
doesnt work like a tape recorder, the majority of what sane people remember
IS reliable and can be checked out and verified. (See criteria 1 of Argument
# 5) This is easily demonstrable. I could make a long list of things I did yesterday,
last week, or even last year. And I could also make a long list of events that
happened from yesterday to years ago. The vast majority of these things (I would
bet over 95 percent of them) could easily be verified by other people, records/receipts,
news articles of the events, etc. No one of course remembers every detail of
every second of their life, but what we DO remember tends to be accurate and
can be verified. This simple fact is severely damaging to the false memory dogma
of this argument. Of course, there are bound to be a few details that are fuzzy
that I may not remember correctly, but these are addressed in the second point
below.
2) Where memory tends to be unreliable the most is in the area involving details
that the brain considers too insignificant to remember (which is the category
that most things go into such as the colors of the cars you saw on the way to
work this morning, number of steps on a staircase, etc.). Thousands of details
we perceive everyday which our minds consider useless and insignificant are
discarded. Unfortunately for skeptics and debunkers, paranormal experiences
dont fit into this category because they tend to be significant, shocking,
and revealing. As we all know, significant life-altering events in our lives
make the biggest impression in our memory and tend to be remembered immediately
with clarity, not years afterward. Since paranormal/psychic experiences belong
in this category, this further damages this already weak argument even more.
In fact, people describing shocking or traumatic events from long ago tend to
say, "It was years ago, but I can still see it as if it were happening
right now." These memories are often the same way years later as they were
the day they occurred. This means that the memory is consistent and reliable.
Its not like I just thought of an event from years ago that made no impression
on me back then and suddenly realize upon reflection that it was paranormal!
Therefore memories of paranormal events are not likely to be created by memory
malleability. Such was demonstrated in my own case when a psychic who sensed
from my "vibrations" that there was a tragic period in my life when
I was 9 years old. When a skeptic challenged the reliability of my memory of
it, which only occurred a year and a half ago, I easily met his challenge by
showing him a post I wrote up about it the day after it occurred, which contained
the SAME details that I remember now. (its ironic these days when science
and technology helps us prove skeptics wrong!)
Therefore, based on the two points above, the memory malleability argument
is not only too weak to use to dismiss significant paranormal claims but also
inadequate and inapplicable as well.
Argument # 7: "The burden of proof is on the claimant."
Typical Usage: "Skeptics don't have to disprove anything because they're
not the ones making a claim. The burden of proof is on the claimant."
When Skeptics who dismiss or deny are challenged to disprove something, they
typically respond with this argument which states that since they are not the
ones making the claim, they don't have to disprove anything, but that the burden
of proof is on the claimant. This argument is similar to the "Extraordinary
claims require extraordinary evidence" requirement of Argument # 2 (see
rebuttal for that section). While this may be sound sensible on the surface,
it poses some problems for the skeptics' pursuit of knowledge.
1) First of all, as said before, just because one is unable to prove something
to others doesn't mean that it is false or nonexistent. For instance, I can't
prove what I dreamed about or thought about yesterday, but that doesn't mean
that it didn't happen. Also, I can't conclusively prove that I saw a certain
movie last month either. The skeptics could say that my saved ticket stub was
stolen or forged, that my memory of the movie was obtained from hearing about
it, that the people that were with me in the theater only constitute testimony
and not proof, etc. You see, there is no way it could be proven 100 percent.
Anyone who wants to deny can always find a reason to. The burden of proof may
be on the claimant for the scientific and skeptical community to accept it,
which is fine and understandable. But this argument is no grounds to use to
dismiss claims and explain them away with alternate explanations, which skeptics
like Michael Shermer tend to do. That would be more of what a cynic does. After
all, why is a debunker's subjective dismissal more credible than one's direct
experience? Skeptics can dismiss all they want, but they never seem to understand
that they are doing it on purely subjective and speculative grounds.
2) Second, this argument does nothing to aid the skeptic's understanding of
the paranormal. All it does is maintain the status quo of their own beliefs.
If skeptics want some proof for something, they have to go find it themselves.
Though not all paranormal experiences and encounters can be found by those willing
to seek, some of them can at least. But asking a claimant to hand over proof
on a silver platter isn't really going to lead anywhere. That's not how it works.
How would one hand over proof of ghosts, UFO's, mystic experiences, or telepathic
experiences, to a skeptic? Can one take a piece of a ghost and bring it back?
Skeptics who want to investigate ghosts and UFO's should talk extensively to
the eyewitnesses and perhaps spend some nights over in a haunted place, rather
than just sitting back and thinking up their own explanations for it. Even the
well-liked late Carl Sagan, who dismissed alien abductions offhand in his book
The Demon Haunted World, never bothered to interview any abductees to learn
about the abduction experience. That's certainly not the action of someone trying
to understand something or looking for the truth. If a skeptic wants proof of
metaphysical realities through mystical experiences or OBE's, they will have
to do the work required to experience it themselves. There are a variety of
techniques for inducing OBE's and astral projections. However, most skeptics
are unwilling to do these type of things because they consider it a waste of
their time since they don't think it's real. Instead, they lazily offer this
argument, which makes sense scientifically, but progresses them nowhere in their
knowledge or exploration. In fact, not bothering to investigate or experience
something yourself, but just sitting back lazily and using this argument makes
no sense.
3) Third, the claimant who already has his/her proof doesn't need to prove
it to others to validate their experiences. NDEers often emphasize this. Their
personal proof from their experience or encounter is a blessing, gift or message
meant for them, not for the skeptics. In other words, the claimants, if sincere,
have already proved it to themselves. Whether or not skeptics accept the proof
is inconsequential to them. Skeptics can believe what they want, but what they
think does nothing to change the reality of a paranormal phenomenon. The skeptics
who only want to see proof from other people without looking for it themselves
is totally missing out on their own transcendental experiences.
Argument # 8: "There is no hard evidence to support any paranormal phenomena."
This is a vague argument because it doesnt define what constitutes "hard
evidence." If by hard evidence they mean something solid and tangible,
then it would not be possible to obtain this from certain things like UFOs,
ghosts, spirits, or ESP. since they are intangible in nature and possibly involve
other dimensions we dont fully understand yet (could also be the case
with UFOs). By this standard, we have no tangible evidence for stars,
galaxies, black holes, or nebulas that are light years away either, although
we can observe them. (Skeptics could argue that theyre just holographic
images on a giant movie projector.) In the same manner, although we cant
reach out and touch UFOs, we have observed them hovering in the sky and
outmaneuvering our best aircraft. Even if all the photographs and video footage
of UFOs were hoaxed, there are still many cases of sightings that were
observed by whole cities or towns, such as the Mexico City mass sighting of
January 1995. This indicates that theres "something" there causing
these mass sightings. Of course, this "something" could be a whole
range of things besides alien spacecraft, but at least its not zero evidence
and not due purely to imagination. Though UFOs show up far less frequently
than the other astronomical phenomena mentioned above, infrequent doesnt
mean nonexistent. The possibility of winning the lottery is also very infrequent
too, but not nonexistent. The same could also go for ghosts, Bigfoot, the Loch
Ness Monster, apparitions of the Virgin Mary, etc.
If by hard evidence they mean things that we can test and measure with experiments,
then this would be difficult to do with ghosts and UFOs since they are
out of our control, but this has already been done and replicated for psychic
phenomena like telepathy and telekinesis (See evidence in Arguments # 17, 18).
We have the vastly replicated Ganzfeld and Autoganzfeld controlled telepathy
experiments, the 20 year consistency of the Princeton Random Number Generator
PK experiments, the controlled tests on psychics such as Uri Geller that he
succeeded in, the recent tests on mediums by Dr. Gary Schwartz, and others.
Skeptics need to clearly define what they want as hard evidence, rather than
being vague about it and then raising the bar when anything is presented.
Argument # 9: Science is the only reliable method.
Typical Usage: "The only reliable way to know about anything is through
the scientific method. All other methods are unreliable."
This statement is usually made by skeptics who glorify and worship science
as their God, even though they would never put it in those terms due to the
connotations of them.
1) First, this is an absolutist statement since there is not just one single
way to know everything. Other ways of knowing things include direct observation,
personal experience, textbooks and articles, and advice from those who are wiser
and more experienced than us. There are countless real things I can experience
that dont need to be proved by the scientific method. Even mundane examples
can demonstrate that. For instance, I can see rainbows by direct observation
even though I cant bring them back to scientists, though they can see
them too if they chose to go look. I can learn parenting through the experience
of being a parent, and swimming by the experience of going into the water. Marketers
and businesses learn the marketability of their products through surveys. We
can also learn valuable things from wiser and more experienced people too, despite
the fact that we didnt use any scientific method to check them out. In
addition, I cant prove where I was yesterday either with the scientific
method, but that doesnt mean that any claim of where I was yesterday is
false. Neither can I prove what I dreamed last night with the scientific method
either, but that doesnt mean that I dont know what I dreamed about.
Likewise, if Acupuncture or some alternative medicine technique works for me,
then I know that it works for me regardless of whether its proven by the
scientific method or not. Not everything has to be official for it to be true.
(See rebuttal to Argument # 1 for more on that.) The scientific method is a
tool for testing hypothesis and finding out things, not for defending ones
own paradigms.
2) Second, since successful psi results have been achieved in tests conducted
under the scientific method, (See Arguments 17, 18) it can be said that evidence
for psi has been gained from the scientific method anyway. Not surprisingly
though, skeptics tend to only accept results done with the scientific method
that show the results they want, which is no psi results and only chance results.
3) Third, things dont have to be proved by science in order to be true.
(as explained in Argument # 1) Many things were true and real before science
discovered or proved them. Though the converse of this is also true, why should
we consider the skeptics subjective dismissal as being more reliable than
ones direct experience? Besides, without direct experience, how would
we know anything at all? A member of my discussion list, Greg Stone, put it
very well when he posted:
"But balanced against science's supposed lack of evidence one finds the
DIRECT EXPERIENCE of those who report. And the reports are consistent and voluminous.
Thus, while science, according to Kurtz, cannot weigh in definitively on either
side of the equation, the DIRECT EXPERIENCES are a fact. And, as everyone knows,
we do not need to check with science to confirm all the aspects of our daily
lives...we did not need to wait for science to properly define and experiment
with the atom before we could manipulate things made up of atoms."
"Experience, direct knowledge, is of a higher order of understanding than
mere subjective speculation without experience. If one were to accept your argument
that experience is intrinsically invalid as a way of knowing, then you undermine
your entire position as you have nothing else upon which to base ANYTHING. Thus,
we see the weakness of a position that replaces firsthand knowledge, firsthand
experience with the SPECULATION of someone who has no experience."
"Which one does the real scientist consider more valid... the report of
a direct experience (make that volumes of consistent reports) OR the musings
of someone with NO experience, only their speculation?"
Now I dont dispute that science is our best way of collecting knowledge,
testing theories, or discovering how things work. The point is that it is not
the ONLY way. And since science has not disproved the existence of God, life
after death, spirits, or psi, then there is no point in skeptics trying to use
science to dismiss those things. Furthermore, the best method of knowing things
also depend on the kind of knowledge one is attempting to acquire. There are
many issues and problems everyday for which empiricism is impractical or impossible.
We make many rational daily decisions both individually and as a society that
are based on no empirical observations. Sometimes common sense and direct observation
are all that are required.
Dean Radin points out in the beginning of his book The Conscious Universe:
The Scientific Truth of Psychic Phenomena, that new scientific discoveries tend
to go through stages. He writes: (page 1)
"In science, the acceptance of new ideas follows a predictable, four-stage
sequence. In Stage 1, skeptic confidently proclaim that the idea is impossible
because it violates the Laws of Science. This stage can last for years or for
centuries, depending on how much the idea challenges conventional wisdom. In
Stage 2, skeptics reluctantly concede that the idea is possible but that it
is not very interesting and the claimed effects are extremely weak. Stage 3
begins when the mainstream realizes not only that the idea is important but
that its effects are much stronger and more pervasive than previously imagined.
Stage 4 is achieved when the same critics who previously disavowed any interest
in the idea being to proclaim that they thought of it first. Eventually, no
one remembers that the idea was once considered a dangerous heresy.
The idea discussed in this book is in the midst of the most important and the
most difficult of the four transitions - from Stage 1 into Stage 2."
Argument # 10: "Paranormal and supernatural phenomena arent possible
because they contradict all known natural laws gained from science."
First of all, natural laws as we define them are based on our interpretation
of empirical testing and observation. Therefore, they are subject to constant
change as new discoveries are found which challenge or contradict our models.
Throughout history, we have constantly updated and expanded our understanding
of the laws of how the universe works. In the past, it was said that things
like heavier than air flight and going to the moon were impossibilities. Skeptics
of those things were proven wrong of course. At one time, according to the law
of aerodynamics, a hummingbird shouldnt be able to hover, yet it did,
so we had to figure out why and revise our laws of aerodynamics. When Albert
Einstein discovered that light travels at a constant speed (e.g. if youre
traveling in a car and shine a flashlight forward, the cars speed is not
added to the lights speed), and formulated his theory of relativity (time
slows down as you go faster), and postulated that gravity involves distortion
of space, all these things contradicted the Newtonian laws of physics at the
time, yet they were eventually validated. As of now, special relativity and
quantum mechanics are at odds with each other, and physicists are seeking a
grand unified theory to unite them both. As history has shown, we constantly
update and expand our laws of physics to fit the data, not deny the data and
new discoveries just to protect our beliefs.
In fact, new discoveries in quantum physics each year are shattering the materialistic
reductionist view we had of the universe, making psychic phenomena and other
dimensions more plausible. These include the non-locality (meaning distance
and space dont exist) of twin particles (discovered by Alan Aspect in
1982), string theories that postulate several other dimensions beside our own,
the discovery that particles behave differently when observed (making psychokinesis
more probable), etc. (See Fred Alan Wolfes Taking the Quantum Leap and
The Spiritual Universe) Each new discovery seems proves the skeptics wrong and
moves us further from their views and closer to metaphysical paradigms. This
is obviously not a good sign for their case. It appears that the skeptic camp
is a sinking ship that one should get off to avoid embarrassment. Just the discovery
alone in quantum physics that all matter is a form of vibrating energy makes
paranormal and psychic phenomena much more plausible and understandable.
Finally, good theories try to unify the data. As Ron Pearson notes in his article
Theoretical Physics Back Survival: (http://www.ozemail.com.au/~vwzammit/afterlifech33.html#Heading34)
"Theories make sense of the experiments and show how apparently unrelated
phenomena are
aspects of the same thing. Good theories provide unifications. For example,
magnetism and electricity were separate fields when science was in its infancy.
As understanding grew it was found that magnetic effects could be produced by
electric currents and the converse also applied. Now we speak of electromagnetism
as a single force; one of the four forces of nature. Theoretical physicists
hope ultimately to join these by a unified field theory arising from a single
'superforce'."
Argument # 11: "Unexplainable does not mean inexplicable."
This phrase is emphasized by arch skeptic Michael Shermer, author of Why People
Believe Weird Things. This argument means that just because something is unexplainable
does not mean that paranormal forces must have been involved, only that we havent
found the explanation for it yet. However, skeptic who use this should also
remember that the following converses are true as well:
1) Just because something happens that they think isnt possible doesnt
mean that it didnt happen. To do so would be to deny reality.
2) Just because something happens that they think isnt possible doesnt
mean that it must be due to misperception, fraud, or hallucination.
3) Just because a natural explanation hasnt been found for something
unexplainable doesnt mean that only a natural explanation could exist.
4) If a natural explanation doesnt explain all the facts, that doesnt
mean that you should insist on it anyway just to protect your belief system.
Take the following example. In the reincarnation cases investigated by Dr.
Ian Stevenson in his book Twenty Suggestive Cases of Reincarnation, none of
the natural explanations account for the data and facts of the cases, such as
babies and children having accurate detailed memories of their past lives which
couldnt have been obtained in their environment, but are later verified
to be true. Dr. Stevenson concludes that the reincarnation hypothesis best fits
the data he personally investigated. Though the skeptic is free to insist that
a natural explanation must be the culprit anyway, (and often does) he does so
by flatly denying the four converse rules above. Would Shermer approve of that,
I wonder? (For more on the reincarnation phenomena, check out Twenty Suggestive
Cases of Reincarnation and Reincarnation: The Phoenix Fire Mystery.)
Argument # 12: "Skeptics dont have beliefs. They/I base our views
and judgments on the degree of evidence."
Some skeptics on the extreme end even go so far as to claim that unlike the
rest of the world, they dont have "beliefs" but reasoned judgments
based on pure evidence alone. Not all skeptics claim to be immune to beliefs,
but there are some that do. This is plain silly though, because statements of
belief can be found in almost anything someone says. We all do things and say
things based on assumptions we have, which are formed in part based on beliefs.
These assumptions are sometimes in the line of beliefs because they are not
always based on hard evidence, but our world views, predisposition, and natural
tendencies. Beliefs are especially found in the skeptical arguments discussed
so far, as most of the skeptical arguments in this article are clear statements
of a priori belief, such as "It is irrational to believe anything that
hasnt been proven" (Argument # 1) and "Extraordinary claims
require extraordinary evidence." (Argument # 2) Further common skeptical
beliefs include "Believers in the paranormal are irrational", "Psi
is improbable", "Psychics and mediums prey on the gullible" and
"Psi experiments show no better than chance results when proper controls
are put into place".
Though skeptics will claim that their views are based on the evidence that
theyve examined, they rarely apply their skepticism to their own beliefs,
which any true skeptic would do. Furthermore, upon close scrutiny its
obvious that they prefer false explanations to paranormal ones, resort to character
assassinations, and ignore data that doesnt fit their hypotheses. Strange
behavior for people who dont have beliefs! Rather, I think that skeptics
are using this "I dont have beliefs" argument to excuse themselves
from having to defend their views, while shifting the burden to believers and
paranormalists.
Argument # 13: "A common myth is that Skepticism is cynicism. It is
not. Skepticism is a method of inquiry."
This statement is usually found in introductions or FAQs sections of
skeptical websites and books. Here is an example from the website of The Skeptics
Society: (http://www.skeptic.com/faqs.html)
"What does it mean to be a skeptic? Some people believe that skepticism
is rejection of new ideas, or worse, they confuse "skeptic" with "cynic"
and think that skeptics are a bunch of grumpy curmudgeons unwilling to accept
any claim that challenges the status quo. This is wrong. Skepticism is a provisional
approach to claims. It is the application of reason to any and all ideasno
sacred cows allowed. In other words, skepticism is a method, not a position."
What these skeptics dont understand is that people in general dont
have misconceptions about skepticism as a concept. The cynicism that people
see in so called "skepticism" is not due to their misunderstanding
of the word itself, but due to the cynical WORDS and ACTIONS of the PEOPLE who
call themselves skeptics. When pseudo-skeptics make cynical statements such
as in the arguments presented in this article, they portray to others a cynical
closed method of thinking, dismissing anything that they dont understand
or consider possible. Thats where this impression comes from. Cynics who
masquerade behind science and skepticism often reveal their cynicism through
their words, thinking methodologies, closed system of beliefs, and dogmatic
assertions. The six common flawed tactics described in the introduction of this
article are the kind of things that give others the impression of cynicism.
This is why even some of the well known skeptics and leaders of organized skeptic
groups are perceived as cynics, including James Randi (the famous magician,
author, debunker, and nemesis of Uri Geller), Michael Shermer (editor of Skeptic
magazine), Joe Nickell (one of the leaders of CSICOP), Martin Gardner (psychic
debunker), Susan Blackmore (University of London Psychology Professor and proponent
of the Dying Brain Hypothesis of NDEs), etc. These people use closed ways
of thinking to dismiss data that dont fit into their hypotheses, which
is prevalent from statements made in their articles/books. Therefore, these
closed minded skeptics are the ones that have the misconception of mistaking
their cynicism with true skepticism.
Argument # 14: "Believers in the paranormal are thinking in primitive,
irrational, childish and uninformed ways."
This statement is often made by the more extreme and opinionated type of skeptic.
Fortunately, many skeptic groups have realized the extremity and folly of these
type of statements and have stopped making them in public. The fact is, many
who hold spiritual beliefs or metaphysical views came to them after researching
all the data and examining the different explanations, making informed conclusions.
Nevertheless, it can also be argued that closed-minded skeptics who are out
to debunk everything paranormal are thinking in irrational and uninformed ways
because they simply refuse to consider the data that support strong paranormal
phenomena cases, but instead dismiss it on a priori grounds. If they are not
up to date on the evidence, then they are the ones who are acting uninformed.
How can one be truly informed if they only wish to look at the data that support
their views? Rationalizing away facts to defend ones paradigm is not an
example of rational thinking.
Furthermore, people who hold paranormal or other non-empirical beliefs may
simply be expressing a cultural, personal or spiritual view, and nothing more.
This does not mean they are less intelligent, more irrational or childish than
non-believers of the paranormal. In fact, these people are usually capable of
applying rational and intelligent thought to a wide variety of everyday situations
when it matters, and no doubt do this effectively and rationally.
We have to remember that basically, it is simply our a-priori beliefs that
affect our acceptance of the data for paranormal phenomena. Closed minded skeptics
and debunkers know going into an investigation that there is a natural explanation,
and are firmly committed to finding it. The problem is that it can (and has
in some cases) lead to incorrect or premature conclusions. It also doesn't do
much for skepticisms reputation when a researcher goes in (falsely, and
obviously so) proclaiming neutrality when the reality is otherwise. Why not
just be honest and say "I don't believe it. It is possible to convince
me, but I don't think that is going to happen because in my experience, the
world doesn't work that way.'"?
Argument #15: "Skeptics are defending science and reason from a rising
tide of irrationality."
This phrase has often been used in articles and websites of skeptical organizations
and magazines, including CSICOPs Skeptical Inquirer and others. Fortunately,
this phrase is now critiqued by skeptics themselves, and used less. Michael
Sofka of ISUNY and author of the article Myths of Skepticism, (http://www.rpi.edu/~sofkam/talk/talk.html)
points out that CSICOP often uses it in their fundraising requests. Folklorist
Stephanie Hall comments on this in her article Folklore and the Rise of Moderation
Among Organized Skeptics: (http://www.temple.edu/isllc/newfolk/skeptics.html)
"Another change advocated by many Skeptics is in the choice of language
used to represent skepticism to others. For instance, a phrase that has commonly
appeared in articles by Skeptics and in statements in the brochures or Web sites
of skeptic groups was an expression of concern about "the rising tide of
irrationality." But although this phrase became an identity marker demonstrating
alliance with organized skepticism and a statement of shared concern, it has
increasingly been criticized by Skeptics themselves. At the NCAS Millennial
Madness workshop in May 1999, Chip Denman critiqued this phrase as, perhaps,
skepticism's own bit of Millennialism, asking questions such as, "What
do we mean by irrationality? How is it measured? How do we know it is rising?"
It seems that this phrase, as a marker of skeptical identity, may be going out
of fashion.
These events are an indication to me as a researcher that Skepticism is going
through changes as it grows, as we might expect in any social movement, and
that local groups are beginning to discover the things they have in common.
Perhaps because the movement has steadily grown and this may inspire confidence
and stability, Skeptics also seem increasingly willing to critique themselves
and express strong views on the ways they do and do not want skepticism to be
presented to the public. This self-analysis is, of course, a good thing, for
any rational endeavor should be willing to critique itself."
Chip Denman, quoted above by Hall, makes a good point. The statement fails
to define what is considered to be irrational. Most likely, what they mean by
irrational is anything others believe in that doesnt fit their world view
or hasnt been proven their way. Therefore, this is more a statement of
bias and faith, rather than fact. If by irrational they mean unproven, then
this is false too as there is strong evidence for many paranormal and psychic
phenomena (See Argument # 1)
In fact, there does not seem to be any evidence of an increase in irrationality
or superstition. I would challenge any skeptic to show me a mass poll where
a high percentage of people admit literally that they believe in "superstition
and irrationality". There probably arent any, because most people
dont label their beliefs as superstition or irrationality. It is the skeptics
who label paranormal beliefs as such. Thats an important thing to remember.
Even the polls published over the years in Skeptical Inquirer indicate at most
a shift in emphasis as one belief replaces another in the popular imagination.
Moreover, to the extent that polls have been done we find church attendance
dropping, and people shifting from organized religions to less formal or more
individualized forms of spirituality. In the traditional religious sense, our
society is more secular now than before.
It appears that on the whole irrationality, belief, and credulity are at about
the same level as they have always been, just distributed in different ways.
What probably is going on is that this phrase is used to describe new and expanded
beliefs (i.e. New Age type beliefs) versus established beliefs in society, with
the new beliefs appearing as though there is an increase.
Section II: Critique of Skeptical Arguments Against Specific Paranormal Phenomena.
Argument # 16: "Psychics and mediums use a technique called cold reading
to amaze you with accurate hits, not psychic powers.
This is a common skeptical argument against professional and non-professional
psychics and mediums. Skeptics claim that psychics and mediums use cold reading
to pick up clues about clients and amaze them. First, let me explain what cold
reading is. Then Ill explain why it does not account for all psychic readings.
Cold reading is an umbrella term for a series of techniques used by magicians
and mentalists (specialists in mind reading tricks) to employ a variety of methods
to gain information and clues about a client for a reading. These methods include
but are not limited to: fishing for clues by asking questions, listening to
everything a client says to get clues, making general or vague statements that
most people interpret as hits, observing facial expressions and body language
as you make statements, analyzing clues from a persons dress and demeanor,
and other mentalist tricks, etc. (despite what politically correct people say,
it is a fact that there are many things you can tell about a person based on
their looks, even from a photograph) Even the smallest things can give a trained
cold reader important clues about you. In conjunction with cold reading, another
technique known as "hot reading" can also be used. Hot reading is
the technique of investigating a persons background and records prior
to a psychic reading to obtain specific information about them. Mentalists performing
in stage shows often use hot reading to obtain prior information about audience
members beforehand, such as maiden names, former addresses, etc. Cold reading
can be used both consciously and unconsciously. Some cold readers knowingly
use and develop their cold reading techniques like a skill or art. Others may
subconsciously use cold reading techniques, attributing it to intuition or psychic
abilities, thus deluding themselves as well as their clients.
Although it is true that there are many frauds out there who use cold reading
the way mentalists and magicians do, it doesnt mean that every psychic
is a fraud. That would be like finding some counterfeit money and concluding
that all money was counterfeit. Magic tricks and genuine psychic abilities are
two separate fields, rather than the same as skeptics like Randi would have
you believe. Of course, frauds and con artists are part of every kind of business,
not just in the psychic medium field. The problem with the cold reading/hot
reading explanation is that for many accounts of psychic readings (including
some of my own) the techniques do not account for the specific information attained.
For example, some psychic can tell you very specific things about you without
asking you any questions, which rules out the "fishing for clues"
technique. If neither they nor any of their accomplices talked to you beforehand,
then that would also rule out the same technique. If the clues they gave could
not have been gained from anything in your appearance, then that would rule
out the "visual clues" technique as well. For instance, if you were
told the location you grew up in, your former last name, or an event in your
past that doesnt show in your appearance, then the visual clues technique
could not account for it. In addition, if the psychic who told you these things
didnt know you were coming beforehand, as in a walk-in psychic fair, then
that would rule out hot reading too. Unfortunately for skeptics, there are many
cases of psychic readings where all of the above were ruled out. Therefore,
cold/hot reading cannot account for every case. In such cases, the skeptic is
left without explanations, but often continue to insist that the client must
have given away some kind of clue, and demand that this be disproved first before
imposing any claim of genuine psychic ability at work. However, if it was a
past event, it is impossible to prove either way unless you could travel back
in time, so the skeptic has their excuse to deny once again.
Let me give some examples of psychic readings that I know of where cold reading
was either impossible or too unlikely:
1) One of my own examples is from a psychic reading I got from my acting teachers
mom about a year and a half ago. During rehearsals one time, I heard that my
teachers mom, Pearl, did psychic readings as a personal favor to people.
A fellow student mentioned that she was amazed because Pearl told her that she
had a certain tragedy when she was 5 years old. Curious myself, I decided to
go up and ask for a reading too just for fun to see what would happen. Up until
then, none of the psychics I went to before impressed me with anything specific.
And since she was not a professional psychic, I didnt think she would
have any incentive to use any fradulent cold reading tricks. Pearl agreed to
it and we sat down. All she asked me for was my birth date (a common question
by psychics to supposedly open up the Akashic records that contain your karmic
history), then she looked at my palm for a while. She did NOT ask any leading
questions or fish for clues. To my astonishment, she said that she sensed that
I had a tragic period in my life when I was 9 years old. Somehow she could feel
the emotional scars there, not from my palm lines she said, but from the vibrations
she felt. This was very true because that year was the worst year of my life,
besides the year that I was 16. Random guessing, although possible, was unlikely
because if she had guessed any other year beside 9 and 16, she would have been
wrong. By guessing, she would have had a 2/25 chance of being right. Furthermore,
guessing was even more unlikely since she guessed the tragic year of the girl
before me correctly too. Generalized guessing was also unlikely because if Pearl
had guessed the age of 5 like she did for the girl before me, it would have
been wrong. The day after this occurred, I wrote an account of it on a message
board post, asking the skeptics to explain this. They insisted that either cold
reading or chance guessing was used. When I mentioned that all I was asked was
my birth date, they insisted that facial expressions and body language were
part of cold reading too. But when I challenged them to explain how my facial
expressions or body language told her that I had a tragedy at 9 years old, they
had no explanation except to repeat the same thing again and dodge the question.
They were stumped! What the odds that Pearl gained such hits from guessing for
both me and the girl before me? More recently, a skeptic suggested to me that
since this occurred a year and a half ago, my memory of the events might not
be accurate. However, I debunked his false memory theory on the spot by stating
that I still had the message board post I wrote right after the event, which
contained the SAME details that I remember now. After his case was blown, he
suggested that if they were a school, they would have records of my past. When
I told him that it was not an actual school, but a community theater acting
class that had no records on me, (and didnt need them either) he was at
a loss for explanations and challenged me to prove that I had an accurate memory
of every detail that happened, including the color of the drapes, chairs, etc.
and that I had a detailed transcript of the whole thing, or else I could not
rule out that all other possible non-psychic explanations. This was of course
ridiculous because it would be like asking someone to remember the license plate
number of every car that they drove by this morning, or what they did 257 days
ago at 3:15pm, for instance. He was obviously getting desperate for explanations
here and to go so far as to challenge me to prove trivial things to put the
burden of proof on me. This was obviously the work of a closed and biased mind.
Besides, Pearl was the kind sincere simple next door granny type and anyone
who met her would laugh if they heard the claim that she was a cold reader.
2) These next two accounts were recently related to me from my dad. The first
one involves a psychic that he, my mom, and her friend met a long time ago back
in Taiwan (I think it was during the early 70's, before I was born) While they
were passing through a city that they rarely visited, they came upon a line
of people waiting for a reading from this blind psychic who gave readings based
on voices he heard. My mom decided on the spur of the moment to get a reading
from him too. Without fishing for any clues, one of the first things that he
told her was that when she was a child, her mom tried to give her away for adoption
to another family, but she later ran back home, which was TRUE! My mom was very
amazed at the time, and her friend was so amazed that she tried to push my mom
aside to get a reading too. He also told her other things that were true too.
Now, being given away for adoption and then running back home is not a generalized
guess that would fit anybody, only a few people. Both my parents and my mom's
friend can confirm this story, so its not like it was made up out of obscurity.
Furthermore, since this reading was on the spot and not prearranged, there was
no possibility of hot reading or background checking. And since this was in
a city where she rarely visited, there wouldnt have been people who knew
her there that could have told the psychic about her beforehand. The skeptics
I related this to tried to claim that since this occurred decades ago, the memories
of the three people involved cant be counted on to be reliable. However,
as mentioned in the rebuttal to Argument # 6, since this was a shocking event,
the memory of it is the same it was at the time it happened (as in my own example
above). Furthermore, since these type of amazing psychic readings already occur
in modern times anyway, why couldnt they have occurred back then as well?
3) Here's the second story that happened more recently. A few years ago, my
dad and a coworker, Eileen, went to a psychic fair. They picked one of the psychics
there for a reading and sat down. Immediately the psychic told Eileen that "You
are in the process of moving" which was true because Eileen had already
sold her house and was in fact in the process of moving. Struck with amazement,
they arranged for a personal reading later on with the psychic. Skeptics I told
this to claimed that the phrase "You are in the process of moving"
was vague and could be interpreted in many ways related to changes in life.
However, whenever Ive heard that phrase used, it usually referred to moving
residence. In either case, even if it was a general phrase, that still doesnt
mean that it was just a guess.
4) This recent case I heard on my email discussion list is probably the most
extraordinary one yet. A wise lady named Edith (Edithlaq@aol.com), whom has
a history of giving good spiritual advice, related this story:
"I went to a Psychic fair in Chicago, all by myself, on the spur of the
moment, then looked around and saw a little old man sitting all by himself,
a bit away from all others. I walked over to him, asked him how much he charges,
and sat down. He did not even ask my birth date or any other question, and began
to talk about my children.
He said I had two children, a boy and a girl. I told him that this is not true,
that I have two girls. He said that he knows different, which really upset me.
He went on saying that the boy died right after his birth, and that my girl
had died a few years back in a tragic incident, and that the second girl is
not my own girl, but is adopted. He was right, because I had to admit that I
no longer thought of my little boy any longer as a son.
( he was born 37 years earlier, prematurely in the 6th month of pregnancy,
and had only lived 25 minutes.)
He then told me that I am writing a Novel, and began to outline the story,
naming the character in the Novel by name, their roles, and how they related
to each other, and the time frame of the story. He was right in the smallest
detail, better than I could describe myself, having written it.
He told me that I would be teaching many people, and that people will come
to my house to ask for lessons, but it would be out of the State, in the South.
(The South was the last place on earth I would want to live at that time. Neither
would I want to leave my job, or my dream house that I had purchased only a
short time before. It was months later that my husband was suddenly transferred
to Georgia. Here I had an Art exhibition in Atlanta, and people had approached
me to teach Art, especially oil painting.)
There were many other events he told me from my childhood, early adulthood,
my former marriage, all accurate in every aspect and every little detail. He
described the house I was born in, a house I had never again seen in over 46
years, and I had to look on an old photograph to check the details he described,
of which I was no longer aware of.
He was correct. He took a pen and wrote my father's name, in my father's handwriting.
(The old German script, which is no longer in use, called: Hohe Stolze.)
Now, I don't expect you to believe me, and I don't care one way or another,
whatever explanation you come up with for all that, it does not change one tittle.
Just remember one thing: I had never been in Chicago before, other than driving
through. Chicago was 45 miles from where I lived, and I knew NO ONE in that
city, nor did anyone know that I would be going to Chicago that day, and I had
no idea that there was a Psychic Fair to begin with, but rather stumbled on
it in one of the Malls.
But most of all, that it was I who chose this particular Psychic among all
others.
I had been to other Psychics, at different times, in different States and different
countries, all without appointments, and without recommendations by anyone I
knew, who had been most accurate in everything they said, three of which described
the same Novel I spoke of earlier, one spoke of a book I had written many years
earlier, even how many pages the manuscript was, how many chapters, and the
general contents of it."
As you can see, the facts in these incidents dont suggest in any way
that cold/hot reading was involved. Psychic reading accounts like this are abundant
and come from people of all walks of life. Anyone who does a little research
could come up with accounts like these.
Just recently some famous mediums were tested under controlled conditions by
Dr. Gary Schwartz of the Human Energy Systems Laboratory at the University of
Arizona, which revealed some astonishing results. The experiments involved a
group of mediums and sitters who were not told each others identities
beforehand. Separated by a cloth screen, the mediums were only allowed to ask
a few yes or no questions before giving their readings. Their readings turned
out to average between a 70 to 90 percent accuracy rate, far above the chance
level of 33 percent! The odds of this happening by chance, according to Dr.
Schwartz, are one in trillions! Even more astonishing, in the second experiment
involving a different group of mediums and sitters, the mediums were not allowed
to ask anything at all, yet they STILL retained the same level of accuracy as
the mediums in the first experiment! A report on these experiments was published
in the January 2001 issue of the Journal of the Society for Psychical Research.
The report, Accuracy and Replicability of Anomalous After-Death Communication
Across Highly Skilled Mediums, which you can obtain by emailing Dr. Schwartz
himself at GSchwart@u.arizona.edu, contains the following key excerpts:
"In a replication and extension experiment, mediums average accuracy
an initial ten minute period that did not allow yes-no questioning was 77%."
"The data suggest that highly skilled mediums are able to obtain accurate
(p less than one in ten million) and replicable information. Since factors of
fraud, error, and statistical coincidence can not explain the present findings,
other possible mechanisms should be considered in future research. These include
telepathy, super psi, and survival of consciousness after-death."
"It can be seen that the mediums varied in the number of total items they
obtained and the number of questions they asked. Medium 1, in particular, generated
over 130 specific pieces of information yet asked only 5 questions, 4 of which
(80%) were answered yes."
"Medium 1, who obtained the lowest score (80%), only asked a total of
five questions. Hence, it is impossible to claim that medium 1s percent
accuracy ratings (see below) were due to "cold reading" and "fishing
for information.""
"Though names were rated least accurately, the magnitude of the accuracy
was still surprisingly high (67% for sitter one and 76% for sitter two). Initials
received higher percent accuracy scores (90% for sitter one and 100% for sitter
two). Personal temperament information was very accurately reported (95% for
sitter one and 93% for sitter two)."
"For the first ten minutes, the mediums were instructed to receive whatever
information they could about the deceased and share this information out loud.
They were not allowed to ask any questions of the sitters. The sitters were
instructed to remain silent................. The content of these two readings
was dramatic. Information about the deceased son and dog were again replicated
by both mediums. However, both mediums also received information about the recently
deceased husband. Medium 2 reported being confused, saying "I keep hearing
Michael times two, Michael times two." The fathers name was Michael,
the sons name was Michael, Jr."
"The two right bars display the percent + accuracy ratings for the silent
and questioning periods, combining the data for mediums 1 and 2. The average
accuracy for the silent periods was 77% and for the questioning period, 85%.
The total number of items received during the silent period was 64, the total
during the questioning period was 157. The difference between the silent and
questioning periods in percent accuracy was not statistically significant."
"The accuracy of mediums 1 and 2 was replicated, including during a ten
minute silent period when no questioning was allowed. New information about
the deceased husband was received by both mediums. More information was obtained
during the questioning period than the silent period, and the accuracy ratings
were somewhat higher. However, detailed information was obtained during the
silent periods when no "cold reading" was possible."
"These two experiments provide quantitative data that are consistent with
the hypothesis that some form of anomalous information retrieval was occurring
in these skilled mediums. Traditional hypotheses of fraud, subtle cueing, and
statistical coincidence, are improbable explanations of the total set of observations
reported here."
"The present findings do not speak directly to the mechanism (s) of anomalous
information retrieval observed. However, the apparent desynchrony of the mediums
ECGs with the sitters ECG during the reading periods compared to
the baseline periods is inconsistent with a "telepathy with the sitter"
interpretation of the findings."
"...........However, it is important to mention that the mediums spoke
remarkably quickly and generated a surprisingly large number of specific facts."
"For the first sitter, all five mediums obtained information about a deceased
son. Three of the five mediums heard the initial M for the son, one said the
name Michael. None gave a false initial or name for the son. Also, none obtained
information about a deceased daughter (her son did die, her daughter was alive)."
"Qualitative Example II: Receiving accurate information days before the
readings
One of the mediums purportedly received communication from the deceased mother
of one of the sitters a few days before traveling to Tucson. The mother purportedly
conveyed to the medium a favorite prayer that she had regularly recited to her
daughter as a child. Moreover, according to the deceased mother, the daughter
was secretly continuing to offer this prayer for her. An assistant to the medium
was instructed to locate the prayer, have it laminated, and gift wrapped.
When the reading was about to begin with the sitter, the medium unexpectedly
reported to the experimenters that he had forgotten to bring into the laboratory
a present he had brought for this sitter from her deceased mother. Surprised
by the claim of such a gift, we instructed the medium that he could have his
assistant bring it in after the reading had officially ended and the formal
data had been collected.
The gift was brought into the laboratory at the end of the session and passed
around the screen to the sitter. Upon opening the present, the sitter, in tears,
confirmed that this was a special prayer her mother had taught her as a child.
Moreover, she shared that she silently continued to say this prayer for her
deceased mother.
Since the medium purportedly did not know who the sitters were ahead of time,
and also did not know who was behind the screen, the observation of the medium
receiving anomalous communication three days before the experiment and giving
this particular sitter this particular gift raises challenging questions......."
Argument # 17: "Experiments that show evidence for psi must be replicable
in order to count as evidence."
Corollary: "I wont consider successful psi experiments as evidence
of psi unless the results are replicated by other scientists and peer reviewed."
This is another category that skeptics tend to use to dismiss evidence. If
they cant it into the "anecdotal evidence is worthless category,"
then they put it into the "unreplicable category" (and by that they
dont just mean replicable by a few other scientists, but by every scientist
in the world!). While this standard may seem reasonable scientifically, it is
usually just another tactic to try to raise the bar, because no matter how many
times a successful psi experiment is replicated, they still will demand a never-ending
higher rate of replication! (If the 2,549 sessions of the Ganzfeld and autoganzfeld
experiments from 1974 to 1997 by different research laboratories which produced
above chance |